• ISSN 2097-1893
  • CN 10-1855/P

基于地震观测记录的地质灾害事件检测——以“23.7”北京山洪泥石流为例

Geological disaster event detection based on seismic signals: A case study of "23.7" Beijing flush flood and debris flow

  • 摘要: “23.7”北京强降雨事件诱发了多处山洪泥石流地质灾害事件,造成了33人死亡、18人失踪,经济损失巨大,引起了社会的广泛关注. 当前地质灾害监测预警系统难以适应复杂环境下的灾害精准预警需求,发展精细化监测预警技术是山地灾害与工程灾变防控研究的热点和难点. 本研究通过实地考察以及附近地震台站连续记录分析,确定了北京西山脚下的车耳营村山洪泥石流发生于2023年7月31日3点36分(UTC+0时间),洪峰高度约3.5 m. 此次灾害事件激发的地震记录波形呈现纺锤形,持续时间较长约100 min. 本研究分别采用长短时间窗比值、统计学本福特定律以及基于频率特征检测的方法,分别对LQS台站记录的车耳营山洪泥石流事件波形进行识别. 结果表明:传统的长短时窗比值判识方法,难以提出有效阈值区分背景噪声和长时间的山洪泥石流过程,无法识别此次山洪泥石流事件. 基于统计学本福特定律的识别方法,在没有噪声阈值的情况下,不能检测到灾害事件;根据背景噪声设置统计阈值的情况下,能够检测识别到灾害事件. 基于质心频率的检测方法,有效地利用了高能量事件丰富的时频幅值变化,无需先验信息条件,能够有效且准确地识别距离1.5 km小型山洪泥石流事件. 该方法提高了基于地震记录信号的地质灾害识别检测效率,有望在将来北京地区密集台网监测的情况下,为地质灾害防灾减灾系统提供新技术.

     

    Abstract: The "23.7" heavy rainfall event in Beijing triggered multiple geological disasters of flush flood and debris flows, resulting in 33 deaths, 18 missing persons, and significant economic losses, which has drawn widespread social attention. Currently, geological disaster monitoring and early warning systems struggle to achieve precise warning in complex environments, making the development of refined monitoring and early warning technologies a hot and challenging topic in the research of mountain disaster and engineering disaster prevention and control. Through field investigations and the analysis of continuous records from nearby seismic stations, this study determined that the debris flow at Che'erying Village at the foot of the Western Hills in Beijing occurred at 03:36 on July 31, 2023 (UTC+0, time), with the flood peak height of approximately 3.5 m. The seismic records triggered by this disaster event exhibited a spindle shape, lasting for about 100 minutes. This study employed three methods—the long-term and short-term window ratio, the statistical Benford's Law, and frequency-based feature detection, to identify the waveform of the Che'erying flash flood and debris flow event recorded at the LQS station. The results indicate that the traditional long-term and short-term window ratio method struggled to establish an effective threshold to distinguish between background noise and the prolonged process of the flash flood and debris flow, failing to identify this event. The identification method based on Benford's Law could not detect the disaster event without a noise threshold; however, when a statistical threshold based on background noise was set, it successfully detected and identified the disaster event. The centroid frequency-based detection method, requiring no prior information, effectively utilizes the rich time-frequency amplitude variations of high-energy events to accurately identify the small-scale flash flood and debris flow event at a distance of 1.5 kilometers. This method enhances the efficiency of geological disaster identification and detection based on seismic signals and holds promise for providing more effective technology, particularly with the dense seismic network in the Beijing area in the future.

     

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