• ISSN 2097-1893
  • CN 10-1855/P

新磨村滑坡地磁扰动现象时序特征分析

Characterisation of the temporal sequence of geomagnetic fluctuation of Xinmocun landslide

  • 摘要: 选择合适的滑坡监测预警指标是实现科学预警的关键. 为揭示滑坡发生前地磁扰动信号的特征与规律,探索利用地磁信号作为滑坡预警指标的可能性,本文选取了新磨村滑坡作为研究对象,利用互相关计算方法,分析滑坡附近的台站与其他台站的数据相关性,统计在观测时段内扰动信号出现的频次,判别滑坡地磁扰动现象,确定滑坡地磁扰动信号特征与规律. 结果表明,新磨村滑坡发生失稳前出现了明显的地磁扰动现象,扰动信号在滑坡主滑方向一侧呈现较强的规律性,且以滑坡点附近出现连续磁扰动高相关性区域为特征. 在滑坡发生前后地磁扰动异常信号长期存在,整体呈现滑坡失稳前出现频繁、滑坡失稳后迅速减少的特点,且与滑坡的变形破坏特征呈现强相关性. 滑坡地磁扰动异常信号可被视为一种新的极具潜力的滑坡监测预警指标,用于搜索潜在滑坡的位置,探索突发滑坡的演变阶段,实现有效的滑坡预警.

     

    Abstract: Selecting an appropriate index is essential for the scientific and effective early warning of landslides. To explore the potential use of geomagnetic fluctuation signals as an early warning index for landslides, this study investigates the characteristics of geomagnetic fluctuations associated with landslides. The Xinmocun landslide is chosen as the case study. Using cross-correlation analysis, we examine the data correlation between observation stations near the landslide and count the frequency of disturbance signals during the observation period to identify geomagnetic disturbance phenomena associated with the landslide. The study aims to elucidate the characteristics and patterns of geomagnetic disturbance signals related to landslides. The results reveal that significant geomagnetic disturbances were observed before the destabilization of the Xinmocun landslide. These disturbances predominantly occurred in the main sliding direction of the landslide and were marked by the presence of sustained high cross-correlation (CC) values (yellow, CC>0.45) in areas near the landslide point. These geomagnetic disturbance signals persisted for a prolonged period before and after the landslide event, displaying a pattern of frequent signals prior to instability, rapid reduction at the point of landslide failure, and strong correlation with the deformation and damage characteristics of the landslide. The findings suggest that geomagnetic disturbance signals can serve as a novel indicator for landslide monitoring. This approach offers the potential to identify the location of potential landslides, assess the evolutionary stages of sudden landslides, and enable effective early warning. Thus, the geomagnetic disturbance signals provide a promising tool for enhancing landslide prediction and risk management strategies.

     

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